Electoral systems, government bureaucracies, regulatory environments, networks of international alliances, and financial markets are all complex adaptive systems. As such, attempts to predict their behaviors with traditional models often fail. This meeting will explore both (i) the application of complexity theory to geopolitical and market risk, and (ii) the relationship between geopolitical and market risk. Particular attention will be paid to the mechanisms that drive uncertainty in these systems and difficulty in quantifying these risks.
Location: Morgan Stanley Headquarters, New York, NY