All day
SFI's ACtioN Annual Risk Meeting (Co-Hosted by Morgan Stanley)
Politics sit at the nexus of multiple complex systems, including: financial markets, evolving technological ecosystems, global trade networks, foreign governments, domestic belief networks, and many more. The interdependencies between these systems often limit the value of linear models of political phenomena. However, complexity science can offer new lenses for analyzing these phenomena. For example, if democracy constitutes a collective intelligence, can we identify adjacent collective intelligences - such as political betting markets - that provide more frequent data on the state of the electorate? If we can model the forces that drive polarization in an electorate, can we better understand our current political situation and thus better intuit future regulatory trends?
This day-long meeting will explore how insights from complexity science can help us to better anticipate and understand political risk.
Overview Agenda
*All times in U.S. Eastern. Agenda subject to change, so please check back often!*
Tuesday, October 15th
New York, NY
|
9:00AM |
Breakfast Available |
|
9:30AM |
Meeting Start and Welcome |
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9:45AM |
Presentation and Q&A on Political Betting Markets and Prediction |
|
10:30AM |
Morning Break |
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10:45AM |
Panel on Polarization, with Q&A with Simon Levin (Princeton University & SFI), Keena Lipsitz (Queens College), Samuel Wang (Princeton University), and Vicky Chuqiao Yang (MIT Sloan) |
|
12:15PM |
Lunch |
|
1:15PM |
Presentation and Q&A on Norms, Institutions, and Political Discourse with Hahrie Han (Johns Hopkins University) |
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2:00PM |
Conversation and Q&A on China and Geopolitical Risk with Elizabeth Economy (Stanford University) and Will Tracy (Santa Fe Institute) |
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2:45PM |
Afternoon Break |
|
3:00PM |
Presentation and Q&A on Navigating Radical Uncertainty in a Chaotic World with Brian Klaas (University College London) |
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3:45PM |
Adjourn |
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4:30PM to 6:30PM |
Off-Site Reception |
Speakers & Panelists
Elizabeth EconomyHargrove Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University; Fmr. Senior Advisor for China at the Department of Commerce
Hahrie HanProfessor & Director of the SNF Agora Institute, and Faculty Director of P3 Research Lab at Johns Hopkins University
Brian KlaasAssociate Professor in Global Politics at University College London
Simon A. LevinScience Board at SFI; James S. McDonnell Distinguished University Professor in Ecology and Evolutionary Biology at Princeton
Keena LipsitzAssociate Professor of Political Science at Queens College, CUNY
Rajiv SethiProfessor of Economics at Columbia University, and External Professor & Science Steering Committee Member at SFI
Samuel WangProfessor of Neuroscience at Princeton University
Vicky Chuqiao YangAssistant Professor in Management of Technological Innovation and System Dynamics at MIT Sloan School of ManagementOrganizers
Casey CoxDirector of the Applied Complexity Network at the Santa Fe Institute
David KrakauerPresident + William H. Miller Professor of Complex Systems, Santa Fe Institute
Michael MauboussinHead of Consilient Research at Counterpoint Global, Morgan Stanley Investment Management, and Trustee and Chairman Emeritus at SFI
William TracyVice President for Applied Complexity, SFI