Abstract. Anticipating ecological responses to dynamic, often no-analogue, environments will be key to mitigating global change. However, forecasts remain a challenge as the societal demand for management strategies presses ecologists to predict in systems lacking critical data. In this talk, I will provide an overview of my approach to making the best of imperfect data to develop forecasts of population, community and ecosystem responses to climate change, disturbance, and nonnative species. Case studies will focus on forecasting plants invasions in temperate forests and climate-driven shifts in global vertebrate distributions.
Noyce Conference Room
Cory Merow (University of Connecticut)
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