W. Brian Arthur

"Complexity and the Economy," Science, 2 April 1999, 284, 107-109. PDF MS Word

"The End of Certainty in Economics," Talk delivered at the conference Einstein Meets Magritte, Free University of Brussels, 1994. Appeared in Einstein Meets Magritte, D. Aerts, J. Broekaert, E. Mathijs, eds. 1999, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Holland. Reprinted in The Biology of Business, J.H. Clippinger, ed., 1999, Jossey-Bass Publishers. HTMLPDF MS Word

"Positive Feedbacks in the Economy," Scientific American, Feb. 1990.   Pdf

"Competing Technologies, Increasing Returns and Lock-in by Historical Events," Economic Journal, 99, 106-131,1989.   Pdf

"Increasing Returns and the New World of Business,"Harvard Business Review, July-Aug 1996.    Pdf  MS Word

"Bounded Rationality and Inductive Behavior (the El Farol Problem), American Economic Review, 84,406-411, 1994. Html  Pdf

"Complexity in Economic and Financial Markets," Complexity, 1, 20-25, 1995.   Pdf

Preface to the book: Increasing Returns and Path Dependence in the Economy, Univ. of Michigan Press, Ann Arbor, 1994.   Pdf

"Process and Emergence in the Economy," introduction to the book The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II, edited by Arthur, Durlauf, and Lane, Addison Wesley, Reading, Mass, 1997.    Html    Pdf

"Cognition: The Black Box of Economics," The Complexity Vision and the Teaching of Economics, David Colander, ed., Edward Elgar Publishing, Northampton, Mass, 2000. PDF MS Word

"Myths and Realities of the High-Tech Economy," Talk given at Credit Suisse First Boston Thought Leader Forum, Sep 10, 2000. PDFMS Word

"The Economy as an Evolving Complex System II.," W. Brian Arthur, Steven N. Durlauf, and David A. Lane, (Eds.), Proceedings Volume XXVII, Santa Fe Institute Studies in the Science of Complexity, Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley, 1997. Review by Gerald Silverberg, Maastricht. PDFMS Word