Edited by John B. Rundle , Donald L. Turcotte , and William Klein

Preface

Societal Effects of Natural Disasters

Scaling Laws for Natural Disaster Fatalities
Stuart P. Nishenko and Christopher C. Barton

Global Fatalities from Earthquakes in the Past 200 Years: Prognosis for the Next 30
Roger Bilham

Floods and Landslides

Diffusion-Limited Aggregation as a Paradigm for Modeling Dynamical Processes
Leonard M. Sander

A Dynamical Systems Approach to Flood-Frequency Forecasting
D. L. Turcotte and K. Haselton

Multiplicative Cascades and Spatial Variability in Rainfall, River Networks, and Floods
Vijay K. Gupta and Ed Waymire

Inference for a Channel Network Model and Implications for Flood Scaling
Brent M. Troutman

Thickness Statistics of Sedimentary Layers Generated by Gravity-Driven Flows
Daniel H. Rothman and John P. Grotzinger

Earthquakes

Thoughts on Modeling and Prediction of Earthquakes
Stephen G. Eubank

Complexity and Earthquake Forecasting
C. G. Sammis, D. Sornette, and H. Saleur

On the Scaling of Average Slip with Rupture Dimensions of Earthquakes
Susanna Gross

Rupture Characteristics, Recurrence, and Predictability in a Slider-Block Model for Earthquakes
John B. Rundle, William Klein, and Susanna Gross

A Comparison of Simple Earthquake Models: Self-Organized Criticality vs. Intermittent Phase Locking
Andreas V. Herz

Spinodals and Scaling in Slider-Block Models
W. Klein, C. Ferguson, and J. B. Rundle

A Hierarchical Model for Precursory Seismic Activation
W. I. Newman, Donald L. Turcotte, and A. Gabrielov

Observation of Boltzmann Fluctuations in Stochastic, Massless Slider-Block Simulations
John B. Rundle, William Klein, and Donald L. Turcotte

Prediction Studies of Earthquake Fault Models and Applications to Seismic Catalogs
Jean Carlson

Index